8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

 

Form 8-K

 

 

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 13, 2015

 

 

THE GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Ohio   1-1927   34-0253240

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

 

(Commission

File Number)

 

(I.R.S. Employer

Identification No.)

200 Innovation Way, Akron, Ohio   44316-0001
(Address of principal executive offices)   (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (330) 796-2121

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

  ¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

  ¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

  ¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

  ¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

A copy of the presentation to be made by The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company at the Deutsche Bank Global Auto Industry Conference on Tuesday, January 13, 2015 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

 

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

  (d) Exhibits

 

  99.1 Presentation, dated January 13, 2015


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    THE GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER COMPANY
Date: January 13, 2015     By   /s/ Laura K. Thompson
      Laura K. Thompson
      Executive Vice President
and Chief Financial Officer
EX-99.1
Deutsche Bank Global Auto Industry Conference
January 13, 2015
Exhibit 99.1


Forward-Looking Statements
Certain information contained in this presentation constitutes forward-looking statements for purposes of the
safe harbor provisions of The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. There are a variety of factors,
many of which are beyond our control, that affect our operations, performance, business strategy and
results and could cause our actual results and experience to differ materially from the assumptions,
expectations and objectives expressed in any forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not
limited to: our ability to implement successfully our strategic initiatives; actions and initiatives taken by both
current and potential competitors; increases in the prices paid for raw materials and energy; a labor strike,
work stoppage or other similar event; deteriorating economic conditions or an inability to access capital
markets; work stoppages, financial difficulties or supply disruptions at our suppliers or customers; the
adequacy
of
our
capital
expenditures;
our
failure
to
comply
with
a
material
covenant
in
our
debt
obligations;
potential adverse consequences of litigation involving the company; as well as the effects of more general
factors
such
as
changes
in
general
market,
economic
or
political
conditions
or
in
legislation,
regulation
or
public policy. Additional factors are discussed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission,
including our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and current reports on Form 8-K.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our estimates only as of today and should not be
relied upon as representing our estimates as of any subsequent date. While we may elect to update
forward-looking statements at some point in the future, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so, even
if our estimates change.
Reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures used in this presentation are available in the Appendix
and are posted on our Investor Relations website, investor.goodyear.com.
2


Company Overview
.
Goodyear tires are sold
in two distinct tire markets...
(% of 2013 Units of 162 million)
...and serve customers
around the world
(% of 2013 Revenue of ~$20 billion)
…available in a diverse
selection of products...
(% of 2013 Revenue of ~$20 billion)
OE ~20% of 2013 Revenue
Consumer
21%
Retail
7%
Other
12%
Chemical
4%
Commercial
Includes:
OTR, Farm,
Race, &
Aviation
56%
North
America
44%
Europe, Middle   
East & Africa
34%
Latin
America
11%
Asia Pacific
11%
Goodyear is a global tire industry leader with powerful brands and
broad product reach
Replacement Market
69%
OE Market
31%
3


Strategy Roadmap
4
Our Destination -
Our Destination -
Creating Sustainable Value
Creating Sustainable Value
Industry
MegaTrends
“Long-term Growth Drivers”
Where We Are
Where We Are
Key Strategies
Key Strategies
Key How To’s
Key How To’s
Executing Plan
Innovation Leader
Record Earnings
Value Creating
Investing for Growth
US Pension Fully Funded
Top Line / Bottom Line Growth
First with Customers
Innovation Leaders
Leader in Targeted Segments
1.
North America: Grow Profitably
2.
Asia: Win in China / Grow Asia
3.
EMEA / LA: Return to Historical
Profit
Competitively Advantaged
Profitable thru Economic Cycle
Cash Flow Positive
Investment Grade
Market-Back Innovation Excellence
Sales & Marketing Excellence
Operational Excellence
Operational Excellence
Enabling Investments
Enabling Investments
Top Talent / Top Teams


Goodyear’s Competitive Advantage
For winners, not an “OR”…
it is an “AND”
Goodyear
delivers
both
in
an
integrated
manner
Market-Back Approach
Sufficient HVA Capacity
Advantaged Value Proposition
Operational
Excellence
5
AND
Iconic brand
Industry leading products
Pervasive distribution
Strong customer relations
Consumer-centric focus
Right Tire
Right Time
Right Place
Right Cost


Goodyear Then …
And Now
2013
2012
2011
2010
$1.6
$1.2
$1.4
$0.9
Segment Operating Income Growth
(a)
See Segment Operating Income reconciliation in Appendix on page 23
(b)
Trailing twelve months as of September 30, 2014
(c)
See
Free
Cash
Flow
from
Operations
reconciliation
in
Appendix
on
page
24
(d)
Primarily non-US plans; projected for December 31, 2014 using 2013 year-end assumptions
(a)
2013
2012
2011
2010
$1.0
$0.7
$0.2
$0.4
Strong Free Cash Flow
(c)
6
$ In billions
2014E
2013
2012
2011
~$0.7
$1.9
$3.5
$3.1
Progress on Global Unfunded Pension
(d)
Significant  SOI growth and cash generation capability
$1.8
TTM
(b)
$0.8
TTM
(b)
TTM
(b)
$0.8
2013
2012
2010
$0.7
$0.5
$0.3
~$0
North America Turnaround
2011
Segment Operating Income
$0.3B
loss in
2009
Fully funded,
froze, and de-
risked U.S.
plans


Preliminary View of 2014 Results
7
Record total company and North America segment operating income
Now expect 2014 FY SOI growth slightly below original 10-15% range,
primarily due to a more challenging industry environment in Europe in Q4
and stronger dollar globally
Expect global volume to be essentially flat
Expect Q4 impact of these developments to be $0.15-$0.20 per share
below our expectations at time of Q3 call
Expect free cash flow to be slightly better than anticipated at time of Q3
call; capital allocation plan remains on track
Record earnings and strong free cash flow


Q4 2014
EMEA Business Update
8
Industry negatively impacted by warmer than expected winter
that lasted through the quarter; one of the warmest on record
While our winter premium brand sales through Q3 were strong,
dealer replenishment was much weaker in Q4 than we expected
Industry sell-out was down double digits in some markets
compared with last year
More challenging economic conditions and a stronger US dollar
More challenging environment than expected in Europe in Q4


9
2015 Outlook
Preliminary Planning Assumptions
FX headwind (similar impact
as 2014)
Venezuela uncertainty
Neutral OTR
Potential release of US tax
valuation allowance
Tax rate if released: 30-35% of
global pre-tax income, no US cash
taxes for ~5 years
Global volume growth of 1-2%
Positive price mix vs. raw
materials (~$50-$100 million)
Cost savings
Operational Excellence
Amiens closure / EMEA Farm
tire business exit
$1.2 billion capex
Reaffirming 10-15% SOI growth target for 2015;
Planning assumptions to be updated in year-end call
Positive Drivers
Other Factors
As previously presented
during Q3 Earnings Call
(October 29, 2014)


10
2015 Outlook
Preliminary Planning Assumptions
FX headwind (similar impact
as 2014)
Venezuela uncertainty
Neutral OTR
Potential release of US tax
valuation allowance
Tax rate if released: 30-35% of
global pre-tax income, no US cash
taxes for ~5 years
Global volume growth of 1-2%
Positive
price
mix
vs.
raw
materials (~$50-$100 million)
Cost savings
Operational Excellence
Amiens closure / EMEA Farm
tire business exit
$1.2 billion capex
Positive Drivers
Other Factors
Will update at our Year-End Earnings
Call in February 2015
(Call-Out boxes reflect latest factors)
Getting
tougher
Lower raws
USD continues
to strengthen
Increasing
confidence
Impact of oil price
on
economic
model
Chinese tariffs
Continue
to
reaffirm
10-15%
SOI
growth
target
for
2015;
Expect
positive
momentum
in
NA
to
offset
International
headwinds


Recent Trends:  Raw Materials
Spot prices down significantly YoY in 2014:
Natural Rubber: ~32%
Synthetic Rubber: ~8%
Carbon Black:  ~53%
Oil (WTI):  ~46%
Raw materials ~50% of tire business cost
of goods sold
Tires ~85% of total cost of goods sold
Around two-thirds of raw materials are
influenced by oil prices
P&L impact lags spot rates by 1-2 quarters
depending on commodity
Customer agreements indexed to raw
materials:
OE customers (~20% of sales)
Certain large Commercial fleets
OTR customers
Goodyear Global Raw Material Usage
2014 FY Estimate
*Petrochemical-based
*
*
*
*
Recent decline in commodity prices will provide a further
tailwind to raw material costs beginning in Q2 2015
11


Recent Trends: Potential US Tariffs on
Chinese Consumer Tire Imports
Several recent affirmative rulings by the Department of Commerce
(DOC)
and International Trade Commission (ITC) for anti-dumping (AD) and
countervailing duty (CVD) investigations
7/22/14: ITC affirmative preliminary injury decision
11/21/14: DOC affirmative preliminary CVD decision and rate set (12.03%
margin for most Chinese tire importers)
CVD and any future AD margins retroactive to September
Upcoming decisions:
1/20/15: DOC preliminary AD decision & rate
Petition seeking AD margins between 45.80-87.99%
4/6/15: DOC final AD and CVD decisions
5/21/15: ITC final injury determination (deadline could be pushed 60 days)
2009-2012 Traiff 421 benefited our US business
12


2015-2016 Financial Targets
We remain confident in our strategy
Reaffirming 2015-2016 targets
Annual 10-15% SOI growth per year
Annual positive free cash flow from operations
Adjusted
Debt
to
EBITDAP
(a)
ratio
of
~2.0x
by
the
end
of
2016
(a)
Total debt plus global pension liability, divided by net income before interest expense, income tax expense, depreciation and amortization
expense, net periodic pension cost, rationalization charges and other (income) and expense
Reaffirming 2015-2016 targets; will update assumptions on Q4 call
13


Capital Allocation


2014 - 2016 SOI Target
$5.5 - $5.8
2014 - 2016 EBITDAP
~ $7.8 - $8.2
Adjustments for:
  Corporate Expense,
  Depreciation, and
  Pension Expense
15
Sources and Uses of Cash
2014-2016
Note: All estimates based on current assumptions and available data
Strong earnings growth driving significant cash available for deployment
Maintaining
the
Business
Capital
Allocation
Plan
$ In billions
Interest Expense
~$1.2 -
Taxes Paid
~ $0.8 -
$1.0
Sustaining CapEx
~ $2.0 -
$2.2
Working Capital
~ $0.0
~$4.0 -
$4.6
Cash Available for
Deployment
Dividends / Share
Repurchase
Growth CapEx
Debt Reductions
(incl. Pension)
Restructurings
~$3.6 -
$3.8
Total
$1.4


Balanced capital allocation plan
Capital Allocation Plan –
Driving Value 2014-2016
16
* $0.65B approved by Board of Directors; increases dependent on Company performance including the achievement of financial targets
Debt Repayment /
Pension Funding
Growth CapEx
Restructurings
Shareholder
Return Program
$1.5B
$0.6 -
$0.9B*
$0.6B
$0.8 -
$0.9B
$3.6 -
$3.8B


Americas
NA & LA
~ 30%
Americas
NA & LA
~ 55%
EMEA & Asia
~ 70%
EMEA & Asia
~ 45%
2011-2013
~$1.3 billion
2014-2016
~$1.5 billion
Heavy investment
in new China plant
and Europe tire
labeling
Includes
new plant for
the Americas
~$500 million
Growth CapEx Investment
Continue to invest for growth ... shifting focus to meet business needs
Targeting ~20% IRR
Primarily
investment in
HVA capacity
& tire labeling
capabilities
17


Balance Sheet Management –
Leverage Targets
Leverage consistent with commitment to achieving investment grade metrics
Reduces cost of capital
Improves global access to credit
Committed to achieving investment grade
balance sheet by the end of 2016
Adjusted Debt
/ EBITDAP
(a)
Note:  See reconciliations in Appendix on page 25
Greater ability to move debt overseas
Ability to reduce cash balances
18
a)
Total
debt
plus
global
pension
liability,
divided
by
net
income
before
interest
expense,
income
tax
expense,
depreciation
and
amortization
expense,
net
periodic
pension
cost,
rationalization
charges
and
other
(income)
and
expense


Shareholder Return Program
19
Continued focus on shareholder returns
Share repurchase program -
$450 million authorized
in 2014-2016 plan
Completed $150 million in Q4/14
Approximately halfway through program in first
year
Dividend payment $0.06 per share per quarter, a 20%
increase in first year


Q & A


Appendix


Use of Historical and Forward-Looking
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
22 
This presentation contains our historical total segment operating income and free cash flow from operations for certain
periods,
our
targeted
total
segment
operating
income
growth
rate
for
2015-16,
our
historical
ratio
of
Adjusted
Debt
to
EBITDAP for certain periods, and our targeted ratio of Adjusted Debt to EBITDAP for 2016. Total segment operating
income, free cash flow from operations, and the ratio of Adjusted Debt to EBITDAP are important financial measures for
the
company
but
are
not
financial
measures
defined
by
U.S.
GAAP,
and
should
not
be
construed
as
an
alternative
to
corresponding financial measures presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
Total
segment
operating
income
is
the
sum
of
the
individual
strategic
business
units’
segment
operating
income
as
determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is Income before
Income Taxes. Management believes that total segment operating income is useful because it represents the aggregate
value of income created by the company’s SBUs and excludes items not directly related to the SBUs for performance
evaluation purposes.
Free Cash Flow from Operations is the company’s Cash Flow from Operations as determined in accordance with U.S.
GAAP before pension contributions and direct payments and rationalization payments, less capital expenditures. 
Management believes that Free Cash Flow from Operations is useful because it represents the cash generating capability
of the company’s ongoing operations, after taking into consideration capital expenditures necessary to maintain its
business and pursue growth opportunities.
Adjusted Debt is the sum of our total debt and our global pension liability, each as determined in accordance with U.S.
GAAP, and EBITDAP, as adjusted, represents net income (the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure) before
interest expense, income tax expense, depreciation and amortization expense, net periodic pension cost, rationalization
charges and other (income) and expense. We present the ratio of Adjusted Debt to EBITDAP because we believe it is
widely used by investors as a means of evaluating a company’s leverage.
It should be noted that other companies may calculate similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures differently and, as a
result, the measures presented herein may not be comparable to such similarly titled measures reported by other
companies.
We are unable to present a quantitative reconciliation of our forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to the most
directly comparable GAAP financial measures, because management cannot reliably predict all of the necessary
components
of
those
GAAP
financial
measures
without
unreasonable
effort.
These
components
could
be
significant
to
the calculation of those GAAP financial measures in the future.


Reconciliation for Segment Operating
Income / Margin
23
$ In millions
2013
2012
2011
2010
Total Segment Operating Income
1,772
$     
1,580
$
1,248
$
1,368
$
917
$   
Rationalizations
(97)
(58)
(175)
(103)
(240)
Interest expense
(420)
(392)
(357)
(330)
(316)
Other expense
(227)
(97)
(139)
(73)
(186)
Asset write-offs & accelerated depreciation
(11)
(23)
(20)
(50)
(15)
Corporate incentive compensation plans
(98)
(108)
(69)
(70)
(71)
Corporate pension curtailments/settlements
(33)
-
1
(15)
-
Intercompany profit elimination
5
4
(1)
(5)
(14)
Retained expenses of divested operations
(18)
(24)
(14)
(29)
(20)
Other
(54)
(69)
(34)
(75)
(47)
Income before Income Taxes
819
$        
813
$   
440
$   
618
$   
8
$      
United States and Foreign Taxes
170
138
203
201
172
Less: Minority Shareholders Net Income
91
46
25
74
52
Goodyear Net Income (Loss)
558
$        
629
$   
212
$   
343
$   
(216)
$  
Sales
$18,573
$19,540
$20,992
$22,767
$18,832
Return on Sales
3.0%
3.2%
1.0%
1.5%
(1.1)%
Total Segment Operating Margin
9.5%
8.1%
5.9%
6.0%
4.9%
Twelve Months Ended
December 31,
Twelve
Months
Ended
September 30,
2014


Reconciliation for
Free Cash Flow From Operations
24
a)
Working
capital
represents
total
changes
in
accounts
receivable,
inventories
and
accounts
payable
trade.
b)
Pension expense is the net periodic pension cost before curtailments, settlements and termination benefits as reported in the pension-related note in the Notes to
Consolidated Financial Statements.
c)
Other includes amortization and write-off of debt issuance costs, net pension curtailments and settlements, net rationalization charges, net (gains) losses on asset
sales, net Venezuela currency remeasurement loss, customer prepayments and government grants, insurance proceeds, compensation and benefits less pension
expense, other current liabilities, and other assets and liabilities.
The amounts below are calculated from the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows except for pension expense, which is as reported in the pension-
related note in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
Trailing
Twelve Months
Ended
($ in millions)
Sept. 30,
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Net Income (Loss)
649
$              
675
$     
237
$     
417
$     
(164)
$    
Depreciation and Amortization
736
722
687
715
652
Change in Working Capital
(a)
(50)
415
457
(650)
52
Pension Expense
(b)
196
285
307
266
300
Other
(c)
329
75
140
461
546
Capital Expenditures
(1,068)
(1,168)
(1,127)
(1,043)
(944)
Free Cash Flow from Operations (non-GAAP)
792
$              
1,004
$   
701
$     
166
$     
442
$     
Capital Expenditures
1,068
1,168
1,127
1,043
944
Pension Contributions & Direct Payments
(1,382)
(1,162)
(684)
(294)
(405)
Rationalization Payments
(181)
(72)
(106)
(142)
(57)
Cash Flow from Operating Activities (GAAP)
297
$              
938
$     
1,038
$   
773
$     
924
$     
Year Ended
December 31,


EBITDAP, Adjusted Debt & Leverage Ratio
Reconciliations
25
$ In millions
a)
Net periodic pension cost excludes curtailments/settlements and termination benefits.
b)
Other includes rationalization charges and other (income) and expense.
2013
2012
2011
2010
Net Income (Loss)
$675
$237
$417
($164)
Interest Expense
392
357
330
316
Income Tax Expense
138
203
201
172
Depreciation and Amortization
722
687
715
652
Net Periodic Pension Cost
(a)
285
307
266
300
Other
(b)
155
314
176
426
EBITDAP, as adjusted
$2,367
$2,105
$2,105
$1,702
2013
2012
2011
2010
Notes Payable and Overdrafts
14
102
256
238
Long Term Debt / Capital Leases due Within a Year
73
96
156
188
Long Term Debt and Capital Leases
6,162
4,888
4,789
4,319
Total Debt
$6,249
$5,086
$5,201
$4,745
Unfunded Pension Liability
$1,855
$3,522
$3,097
$2,549
Adjusted Debt
$8,104
$8,608
$8,298
$7,294
Adjusted Debt/EBITDAP
3.42x
4.09x
3.94x
4.29x
Year Ended December 31,